Going Out On A Limb

RSS
Email

0 Kudo

Forum Jump

Author	Comment
JimRice75	Going Out On A Limb		Lead	[-]
Rem Pup Posts: 101 01/24/08 6:44 PM Rem Pup	Tags : None Just to (possibly) generate some discussion; My projections for HEALTHY full-time players: Pedroia 2b .290-10-60 Youkilis 1b .295-20-85 Ortiz dh .310-45-130 Ramirez lf .310-35-110 Drew rf .290-20-90 Lowell 3b .290-20-85 Varitek c .250-10-55 Crisp cf .285-10-70 Lugo ss .280-10-70 if Ellsbury then: Ellsbury cf .285-10-65 (always rounded to the nearest 5)
Interact My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Invite Blocking Ignore User's Posts Report Post	Reply Quote
Santsman	Re: Going Out On A Limb	#1	[url]	[-]
RemDawg Posts: 4228 01/24/08 10:21 PM LOUD Dawg	Great projections, I can see Pedroia, Ortiz, Manny, Lowell and Drew putting up those numbers or better. I can't Youk having his career season, he is not much more than what we've seen which is .280/15/79. Lugo the same, don't see him suddenly being better than his career averages of .271/12/62. I do expect Tek to have a better year if he has not signed an extension. I still don't see Crisp being here for the 2008 season, I would expect Ellsbury to get the time in CF. I also expect him to have a .290/12/75/35 SB season if he plays FT. Sants Thanks 5, 18, 45, 38, 34, 24, 33, 49 and 7 for 2004. Thanks 24, 34, 18, 33, 46, 59, 38, 19, 15, 25 and 7 for 2007. Thanks 8, 9, 27, 14, 19, 42, 39 and 21 for all the good years. Here's to back to back championships in 2008.
Interact My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Invite Blocking Ignore User's Posts Report Post	Reply Quote
AWilliams7	Re: Going Out On A Limb	#2	[url]	[-]
Dawg in Training Posts: 701 01/25/08 2:56 PM Dawg in Training	I like your optimism, Jim. I'll consider it a miracle if either of these two come close to these numbers you project: Drew 290-20-90 Lugo 280-10-70 Ann, who's still not quite sold on that duo.
Interact My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Invite Blocking Ignore User's Posts Report Post	Reply Quote
JimRice75	Re: Going Out On A Limb	#3	[url]	[-]
Rem Pup Posts: 101 01/25/08 5:50 PM Rem Pup	You can call me optimistic, but I say I'm a realist: JD Drew over his last 54 games last year (last third of the season) Drew rf .316-5-24, 158 AB, 50 Hits, 11 2B, 3 3B, 28 BB Expanded To Full Season that is: Drew rf .316-17-84, 550 AB, 174 Hits, 38 2B, 10 3B, 98 BB Julio Lugo over the last 81 games of last year (last half of the season) Lugo ss .284-4-39, 289 AB, 82 Hits, 24 2B, 1 3B, 20 BB Expanded to full season that is: Lugo ss .284-8-82, 606 AB, 172 Hits, 50 2B, 2 3B, 42 BB
Interact My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Invite Blocking Ignore User's Posts Report Post	Reply Quote
captainliteral	Re: Going Out On A Limb	#4	[url]	[-]
RemDawg Posts: 2911 01/25/08 6:53 PM RemDawg	*Quote:* Drew rf .316-5-24, 158 AB, 50 Hits, 11 2B, 3 3B, 28 BB Expanded To Full Season that is: Drew rf .316-17-84, 550 AB, 174 Hits, 38 2B, 10 3B, 98 BB Seems pointless to expand 54 games to a full season since we already have a full season of stats to go on. If we take Drews full season stats from last year and expand them to a full season, well they're the same, which is to say the numbers are really poor for a 14.4 million dollar right fielder. The expanded numbers you have would put him way above his career average for ba, doubles and hits. I don't think it's likely for a 33 year old to suddenly have almost 50 more abs than at any point in his career or to put up his best year.
Interact My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Invite Blocking Ignore User's Posts Report Post	Reply Quote
JimRice75	Re: Going Out On A Limb	#5	[url]	[-]
Rem Pup Posts: 101 01/25/08 7:02 PM Rem Pup	The point is, Drew ended last season strong, and history says players often have an adjustment period switching to the AL, and especially to the Red Sox. I stand by my earlier forecast: .290-20-90 .290 is 26 points below the .316 he hit the last third of the season, so that's a conservative number. He's capable of 30+ homers any given year, so the 20 HRs is also conservative. With Ortiz and Manny batting ahead of him, with those high OBP, the 90 RBIs is also very conservative.
Interact My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Invite Blocking Ignore User's Posts Report Post	Reply Quote
itisnextyr	Re: Going Out On A Limb	#6	[url]	[-]
Dawg in Training Posts: 574 01/25/08 7:38 PM Rem Pup	Can we at least drop teK to 9th? Or 8th?
Interact My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Invite Blocking Ignore User's Posts Report Post	Reply Quote
JimRice75	Re: Going Out On A Limb	#7	[url]	[-]
Rem Pup Posts: 101 01/26/08 10:34 AM Rem Pup	"Can we at least drop teK to 9th? Or 8th?" -itisnextyr From your keyboard to Francona's computer screen! Actually, if they bat Ellsbury first, it will be very likely that Tek is 8th: Ellsbury cf Pedroia 2b/Youkilis 1b Ortiz dh Ramirez lf Drew rf Lowell 3b Youkilis 1b/Pedroia 2b Varitek c Lugo ss
Interact My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Invite Blocking Ignore User's Posts Report Post	Reply Quote
HoukRocksBoat	Re: Going Out On A Limb	#8	[url]	[-]
Hot Dawg Posts: 1846 01/27/08 8:21 PM Hot Dawg	I don't think Jim's projections for Drew are that far off, if Drew can stay on the field close to as well as he has the past two years. As a matter of a fact, lineup-wise, where don't they gain or at least stay the same in 2008? Consider: Drew can't be worse and un-did any negativity with his grand slam Lugo can't be worst, but, if he is, he'll probably have Jed Lowrie breathing down his neck come July Ellsbury will likely hit better than Crisp Manny is playing for an option ***Ortiz played hurt all last year Meanwhile, Varitek is Varitek, Youk improved, and Pedroia hit .317 despite being under .200 in April. I suppose Lowell could fall off but, then again, if he hits fifth all year and all of these guys are equal or better, why would he?
Interact My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Invite Blocking Ignore User's Posts Report Post	Reply Quote
ruthkes	Re: Re: Going Out On A Limb	#9	[url]	[-]
RemDawg Posts: 4890 01/28/08 8:43 PM RemDawg	Manny is not only playing for an option, but he's out training at the Athletic Performance center in AZ this off season, so I expect he'll be in excellent shape come Spring... Ruth "Some people just love to complain. A goose could come and lay a golden egg on their desk, and they'd whine it wasn't big enough." - ParanoidAndroid, poster at rf.com
Interact My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Invite Blocking Ignore User's Posts Report Post	Reply Quote
gluttonforpunishment	Re: Re: Going Out On A Limb	#10	[url]	[-]
Rem Pup Posts: 491 01/28/08 9:38 PM Rem Pup	This could be a pivitol year for a lot of these guys, both the ones who under-performed and those who may have over-performed. Predictions are fun and the mentioned ones would be in-line with what you SHOULD be able to expect, but I don't really see many of them "risky" in prediction. If I had to extend myself to predict, I would line mine like this: Pedroia 2b .290-10-60.......ok, maybe a little high Youkilis 1b .295-20-85.......I would give him a few more (300?) Ortiz dh .310-45-130.........Dave and Manny will start to fade Ramirez lf .310-35-110......Average seems reasonable but RBIs, like with David may tail off Drew rf .290-20-90..........I don't see it, Drew is 270 until he shows me otherwise Lowell 3b .290-20-85......It would be nice but..... Varitek c .250-10-55......Jason will be 240 at best Crisp cf .285-10-70........Maybe Lugo ss .280-10-70........No way, 265 or so if Ellsbury then: Ellsbury cf .285-10-65....this is the toughest call IMO, time will tell Thanks Jim for the topic, it is fun to predict and ponder.
Interact My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Invite Blocking Ignore User's Posts Report Post	Reply Quote

<< Previous Topic Next Topic >>

Yuku free message boards

Going Out On A Limb

Going Out On A Limb

Quick Reply